tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6347536209014288641.post4426304507586613380..comments2023-10-20T06:12:38.934-07:00Comments on Redlegs Baseball: 2010 Top Prospect List: #24 Josh Fellhauer, ofLark11http://www.blogger.com/profile/06571198327064220683noreply@blogger.comBlogger14125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6347536209014288641.post-25845800743837385382009-12-03T23:20:32.346-08:002009-12-03T23:20:32.346-08:00Anon,
I crank them out as fast as I can. I have ...Anon, <br /><br />I crank them out as fast as I can. I have quite a bit going on these days and other obligations to meet. Unfortunately, this blog doesn't pay the bills, so I don't get as much time to work on it as I might like. And, when you factor in both the research and writing, these posts do take a bit of time. Even so, I'm still trying to crank out 2 or 3 write-ups a week and I'm not far off from doing just that. As I mentioned before, the posts will come in spurts, as they depend on me having time to work on them. <br /><br />Best, <br />LarkLark11https://www.blogger.com/profile/06571198327064220683noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6347536209014288641.post-60755403030750898012009-12-03T12:34:39.265-08:002009-12-03T12:34:39.265-08:00So much for posting 1 every other day. i dont mean...So much for posting 1 every other day. i dont mean to ride you about this because im sure these take time to right like you said but its been a week with nothing. i mean come on it cant take a week to right 1 prospect artical.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6347536209014288641.post-72708624161487240022009-12-02T21:00:46.274-08:002009-12-02T21:00:46.274-08:00Smitty,
Agreed. The Reds third base contingent in...Smitty,<br /><br />Agreed. The Reds third base contingent in 2009 pre-Rolen was essentially replacement level. Rolen could be a 3 win improvement all by himself. Stubbs SHOULD be a significant upgrade over Willy T. <br /><br />The big question mark is likely to be on the hill. We need Homer and Cueto to take a big step forward if we're going to compete. <br /><br />Best,<br />LarkLark11https://www.blogger.com/profile/06571198327064220683noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6347536209014288641.post-41073055891521925662009-12-01T16:05:01.080-08:002009-12-01T16:05:01.080-08:00i agree completly. with the improvement of stubbs ...i agree completly. with the improvement of stubbs over willy T and rolen ove EE, thats well worth 5 wins right there and if bruce can hit like we know he can, im really excited about the upcoming season. We need bailey to keep improving, bruce to perform to his level, stubbs/rolen, and young guys to perform and we could make a run at the centralsmittynoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6347536209014288641.post-68532996387131769102009-12-01T06:07:20.922-08:002009-12-01T06:07:20.922-08:00Smitty,
You may well be right. He's going to ...Smitty,<br /><br />You may well be right. He's going to have massive value on the defensive side, so if he hits a little bit, then he should be right in the mix.<br /><br />I'm not sure the improvement in run prevention that the Reds will receive from having a full season of Stubbs and Rolen (barring injury) is being talked about enough. It could have a significant impact on the pitching staff and W/L record. <br /><br />Best,<br />LarkLark11https://www.blogger.com/profile/06571198327064220683noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6347536209014288641.post-16806365370803102662009-11-29T17:13:02.972-08:002009-11-29T17:13:02.972-08:00i definitely dont see him as a stubbs. Stubbs is ...i definitely dont see him as a stubbs. Stubbs is the man, He will be our mvp this year in terms of WAR. write that down and remember it.smittynoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6347536209014288641.post-82579830978680900152009-11-29T10:41:52.493-08:002009-11-29T10:41:52.493-08:00Smitty,
Well, on Fellhauer, my concerns are more ...Smitty,<br /><br />Well, on Fellhauer, my concerns are more about his bat than his glove. I don't think we have a large enough sample size to make a determination on his defensive game quite yet. So, he could certainly prove to be a viable option in center. <br /><br />Even so, neither the scouting reports nor early statistics indicate that he's a Stubbs/Dickerson caliber center fielder. If he does stick in center, he seems more likely to be solid, league average than elite, Gold Glove. He does have solid speed, but there is more to good outfield defense than just foot speed, so it'll be interesting to see how he handles center over a larger sample size. As a CSF guy, I'd be surprised if he doesn't do the "little things" (getting good reads, taking the proper angles, etc) rather well. <br /><br />Still, I'm not seeing him as an impact defender in center in the mold of Dickerson/Stubbs or an impact bat at the plate. He's a nice player/prospect and I hope he takes his overall game up a notch to a level where he can become an impact player in the professional ranks. The 2010 season will reveal a lot about his game, but for now he strikes me as being a complimentary type player. <br /><br />Thanks for the comment. <br /><br />Best,<br />LarkLark11https://www.blogger.com/profile/06571198327064220683noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6347536209014288641.post-83796579959268250102009-11-29T10:05:01.366-08:002009-11-29T10:05:01.366-08:00im extremely interested in where you have oliveras...im extremely interested in where you have oliveras and silva and some of the other centerfielders we have in the system compared to fellhauer. In my mind Fellhauer was the guy behind heisey and rodriguez but i remember you being high on oliveras. Cant wait for the rest of the listsmittynoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6347536209014288641.post-62188505522345429652009-11-29T09:59:06.470-08:002009-11-29T09:59:06.470-08:00well thats just what ive herd untill your post. Yo...well thats just what ive herd untill your post. Your the first person ive heard that thought he couldnt stick in center, everyone else told me he has the speed to do so. But i think i trust your judgement a little more than the others so im leaning more your way for now. We shall seesmittynoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6347536209014288641.post-58046335267714872352009-11-28T19:36:01.519-08:002009-11-28T19:36:01.519-08:00Smitty,
I hope you're right. To me, Fellhauer...Smitty,<br /><br />I hope you're right. To me, Fellhauer is looking a lot like a true tweener. Not enough range for center and not enough bat for anything else. <br /><br />More than anything, I question whether he has the power, speed, or on-base skills to go with his sweet swing and ability to hit for average. Does he have the power to hit 20+ homers? Does he have the speed to steal 30+ bases? Does he have the on-base skill to draw 70+ walks in a year? <br /><br />He has to bring something more than batting average to the table. Another guy that came to mind when you looking at Fellhauer is Sam Fuld. Fuld came out of an elite college baseball program and holds the record for most career hits in the College World Series. Even so, Fuld has had a difficult time cracking the every day lineup and that's in spite of his plus on-base skills and plus centerfield defense.<br /><br />Being able to stick in center would be a big plus, but I have concerns about Fellhauer's ability to make an impact on the offensive side. <br /><br />When I originally was projecting the top prospect list, I had envisioned Fellhauer in the 18-20 range. The more I looked into it, the more questions were generated about whether Fellhauer has "enough" on the offensive side. Interesting to hear that you seem to view him as having a bit more speed and power potential than I do. <br /><br />Best,<br />LarkLark11https://www.blogger.com/profile/06571198327064220683noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6347536209014288641.post-37499828087114444562009-11-28T18:26:42.302-08:002009-11-28T18:26:42.302-08:00Well he would definatly have to stick in center, ...Well he would definatly have to stick in center, and from sources ive heard he has the speed to do so. something that i dont see happening with byron, which is why i dont think he will ever be as high as a prospect in my mind. Fellhauer has enough speed to steal some bases which he will definatly need to perfect in the future and i like his left handed swing alot. If he can continue to hit i see him like another valaika, someone with no below avg tools but not bove avg tools who can barely field his position well enough to stick there. (Although i think fellhauer is a better centerfielder than valaika a shorstop.) <br /><br />He could be a good 4th outfielder type who can play all 3 spots(dorn cant) and be a left hander off the bench. I dont ever see him as a starter what with stubbs, heisey, and rodriguez in our system ahead and behind him. But i still cant help but like him for what he is.<br /><br />But he really needs to stick in center, develop his speed/stealing, continue to improve his on base skills, hit around 450 slg, and then he could climb the charts kind of like heisey didsmittynoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6347536209014288641.post-52502648391311865762009-11-28T18:07:35.801-08:002009-11-28T18:07:35.801-08:00Ultimately, I think a guy with a plus tool or two ...Ultimately, I think a guy with a plus tool or two has a better chance to make an impact than a well-rounded prospect who lacks a plus tool. <br /><br />I'd be curious to get your take, what's the best case scenario for Fellhauer? Obviously, it would be sticking in centerfield, but on the offensive side what do you consider to be a realistic level of performance for Fellhauer?Lark11https://www.blogger.com/profile/06571198327064220683noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6347536209014288641.post-82353934280310030202009-11-28T18:01:20.907-08:002009-11-28T18:01:20.907-08:00Smitty,
I was conflicted on Fellhauer. He's t...Smitty,<br /><br />I was conflicted on Fellhauer. He's the type of prospect that I DO like. He's got a sweet lefthanded swing and he's a polished college prospect with an understanding of how to play the game. On a gut level, I prefer college prospects to high school prospects, especially those who play at big time collegiate programs and face advanced competition.<br /><br />Even so, the more I looked at Fellhauer, the more I wondered if he had the tools to become an impact player. I think he does a nice job of getting the most from his abilities, but I'm just not sure there is any real projection left in him. His tools are pretty average across the board and it's difficult to see a great deal of power projection in his game.<br /><br />I prefer Wiley because he has a similar smooth swing, but also has plus-plus on-base skills. When I compare the two, Wiley's plus on-base skills give him an edge over Fellhauer. Wiley also has two physical build advantages on Fellhauer: 1) a couple of inches in height and 2) a more muscular build. In theory, these two advantages should give Wiley a bit more power potential.<br /><br />I must admit, I also compared Fellhauer to his fellow Titan Danny Dorn. If Danny Dorn (who likely has a significant advantage in on-base skills and power on Fellhauer) can't get a shot at an MLB job with the Reds, then how will Fellhauer (who lacks any true plus tools) crack the Reds?<br /><br />I'm hopeful that Fellhauer proves me wrong, but I'm just not sure how much upside he has left in his game.<br /><br />Anyway, thanks for the comment!<br /><br />Best,<br />LarkLark11https://www.blogger.com/profile/06571198327064220683noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6347536209014288641.post-91194657430378446852009-11-28T17:39:23.676-08:002009-11-28T17:39:23.676-08:00i thought you would like him more than byron lark,...i thought you would like him more than byron lark, but good spot for him. I definatly like his swing. very smoothsmittynoreply@blogger.com